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UK home owners are expecting house prices to rise by 4.5% over the next six months, a sign of significant confidence returning to the housing market, according to new research. This is the biggest predicted house price increase by UK home owners in over three years and could signal that 2013 is set to be the best year for the property market since the financial crisis struck.
Prime property prices in London have recorded an unprecedented two and a half years of steady annual growth between 0% and 10%, according to the index figures from Savills.
This said, double digit annual price growth has not been seen in prime London since the heady days of 2009/2010. Since then, we have seen sustained demand for prime London property from both wealthy Londoners and the 34% of buyers who are from overseas.
The index also shows that prime central London has marginally underperformed the wider prime London markets over the last 12 months, with total growth of just 3%. However prices in the £5 million plus market are still over a third higher than they were prior to the 2008 downturn, having been fuelled by international demand that has accounted for 67% of purchases. By contrast prices in the prime markets of South West London are 17.6% above their former peak.
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當一個城市房地產海外買家超過三成,則房地產價格必須考慮到匯率波動,向英國倫敦房地產是標準的國際買家超過3成以上,且被俄羅斯、中東、中國富豪視為資金避風港,因此當英國實施QE造成英鎊大幅貶值,英鎊兌台幣(60->45.75)貶值24%,英鎊兌人民幣(13.67->9.5299)貶值30%,因此以國際買家的眼光,英國倫敦房地產並未偏高,且考量QE結束後經濟重反軌道且英鎊升值,只要英國繼季維持穩定,國際買家得到房市與匯市雙重報酬。
所以,以英鎊衡量價值,房地產是極佳的抗通膨工具且保值的工具。
但考量東京房地產,人口結構以及地震頻繁均增加房地產投資的風險,雖然貶值會造成房地產推升的力量,但考量政府負債已超過GDP2倍,日圓稅賦再利率升高時一定會逐步增加,並不利於房地產長期投資,而當地稅賦也不鼓勵短期投資房地產,所以長短期均不適宜投資日本房地產。
Prime property prices in London have recorded an unprecedented two and a half years of steady annual growth between 0% and 10%, according to the index figures from Savills.
This said, double digit annual price growth has not been seen in prime London since the heady days of 2009/2010. Since then, we have seen sustained demand for prime London property from both wealthy Londoners and the 34% of buyers who are from overseas.
The index also shows that prime central London has marginally underperformed the wider prime London markets over the last 12 months, with total growth of just 3%. However prices in the £5 million plus market are still over a third higher than they were prior to the 2008 downturn, having been fuelled by international demand that has accounted for 67% of purchases. By contrast prices in the prime markets of South West London are 17.6% above their former peak.
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當一個城市房地產海外買家超過三成,則房地產價格必須考慮到匯率波動,向英國倫敦房地產是標準的國際買家超過3成以上,且被俄羅斯、中東、中國富豪視為資金避風港,因此當英國實施QE造成英鎊大幅貶值,英鎊兌台幣(60->45.75)貶值24%,英鎊兌人民幣(13.67->9.5299)貶值30%,因此以國際買家的眼光,英國倫敦房地產並未偏高,且考量QE結束後經濟重反軌道且英鎊升值,只要英國繼季維持穩定,國際買家得到房市與匯市雙重報酬。
所以,以英鎊衡量價值,房地產是極佳的抗通膨工具且保值的工具。
但考量東京房地產,人口結構以及地震頻繁均增加房地產投資的風險,雖然貶值會造成房地產推升的力量,但考量政府負債已超過GDP2倍,日圓稅賦再利率升高時一定會逐步增加,並不利於房地產長期投資,而當地稅賦也不鼓勵短期投資房地產,所以長短期均不適宜投資日本房地產。
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